Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.542789 0.615851 0.693708 0.782696 0.881432 0.987462 1.109778
2025-10-05 0.436526 0.539164 0.656528 0.799997 0.969936 1.164071 1.401847
2025-10-12 0.359666 0.480868 0.628775 0.820920 1.062120 1.352917 1.727852
2025-10-19 0.292409 0.421819 0.589792 0.820730 1.126446 1.513353 2.035467
2025-10-26 0.240440 0.372900 0.555124 0.819168 1.186065 1.671099 2.352629
2025-11-02 0.199933 0.332279 0.524627 0.817297 1.242440 1.827078 2.678784
2025-11-09 0.168196 0.298650 0.498374 0.816442 1.297757 1.983803 3.016264
2025-11-16 0.143773 0.271899 0.477928 0.820267 1.358145 2.150211 3.377632
2025-11-23 0.121603 0.244777 0.452604 0.812403 1.398384 2.288298 3.705719
2025-11-30 0.107366 0.228848 0.442979 0.827610 1.474324 2.483461 4.129722
2025-12-07 0.091786 0.207571 0.421011 0.818985 1.509868 2.617356 4.467238
2025-12-14 0.080988 0.193538 0.409778 0.826953 1.572397 2.796546 4.884728
2025-12-21 0.068722 0.174414 0.386761 0.811628 1.594390 2.912814 5.211658
2025-12-28 0.063252 0.168843 0.389019 0.842953 1.700368 3.174443 5.790374
2026-01-04 0.058293 0.163499 0.390948 0.873614 1.807276 3.443979 6.397250
2026-01-11 0.051673 0.152959 0.380645 0.878969 1.867585 3.636530 6.884580
2026-01-18 0.045653 0.142653 0.369343 0.880818 1.920896 3.819346 7.364394
2026-01-25 0.040310 0.132958 0.357967 0.881034 1.970548 3.997872 7.845378
2026-02-01 0.035676 0.124165 0.347357 0.881513 2.020265 4.178741 8.339051
2026-02-08 0.031880 0.116895 0.339279 0.886481 2.078985 4.379018 8.876929
2026-02-15 0.027894 0.108122 0.326205 0.878618 2.110269 4.528824 9.329457
2026-02-22 0.025539 0.103866 0.323917 0.895245 2.193855 4.782622 9.985491
2026-03-01 0.022358 0.096137 0.311404 0.886231 2.221565 4.929029 10.446834